Load model based on the baseline load forecast from the nyiso s 2018 load and capacity data report 2018 gold book. A draft version of nyisos annual load and capacity forecast shows electric vehicle. Load and capacity data report gold book preparati t h t t mp f d t ifi tition team reaches out to mps for data verification. The nyiso used the load forecast consistent with the 2019 load and capacity data report gold book. The new york independent system operator nyiso is a not. System reliability impact studies generation interconnection ferc form 715 nyiso gold book. Psse used for analysis nyiso data for short circuit studies. A draft version of nyisos annual load and capacity forecast shows electric vehicle usage driving a 66% increase in new york. Nyiso load forecasts for the 2011 2021 period and the transmission and generation data for the new york control. The nyiso has posted its final 2018 gold book, which includes demand forecasts for nyiso overall and each zone within the state. Dec 26, 2019 for an overview i used the annual report that presents load and capacity data including historical and forecast seasonal peak demand, energy usage, and existing and proposed generation and transmission facilities. Entergy prefiled evidentiary hearing exhibit ent000484. Nyiso manuals specify how and when the data are to be submitted. Table 2 uses this peak load comparison to estimate that 60% of.
Nyiso power trends identifies key issues for new yorks. Capacity data report gold book address the following topics. In this recent power trends podcast wes yeomans, nyiso vp of operations, discusses the covid19 pandemic response plan, how we are maintaining reliability of the grid, and the mental and physical health of our valued staff. Nyiso draft gold book shows evs driving load growth. Nyiso gold book forecasts for ny wide loads adjustments to load in local areas where necessary to reflect non coincident peaks 9010, localized load growth. In april, the new york independent system operator nyiso released its annual gold book, which provides longterm forecasts for electric load and generation capacity. This forecast for the years through 2027 is the time frame of nyisos official forecast for electricity demand and supply. Dec 02, 2019 the first step is to determine how much generation was used in 2018. Data sources load forecast nyiso the major source of base cases used in modeling load flow fault duty stability generator ownershvdcfacts developers mwmvar capability. Based on the baseline load forecast from the nyisos 2018 load and capacity data report 2018 gold book. Electricity outlook 2011 new york building congress. Green overload new york states ratepayerzapping renewable energy mandate.
Nyiso load and capacity data for the years 20142024. A draft version of nyisos annual load and capacity forecast shows electric vehicle usage driving a 66%. Installed capacity view strip auction summary nyiso. Nyiso comprehensive system planning process annual nyiso gold book.
The mission of the new york independent system operator, in collaboration with its stakeholders, is to serve the public interest and provide benefit to consumers by. Nyiso states that this information is subject to change in every. The nyiso also establishes additional minimum capacity requirements for lses in a locality i. Gold book 2 originally released april 2011 version 1. Per nyiso oatt cecony posted on its website assumptions used in its lttp. New york independent system operator nyiso archives. Nyiso load forecasts for the 2010 2020 period and the transmission and generation data for the new york control area nyca. Historic and forecast peak demand, energy usage, and energy efficiency. Nyisos gold book shows a lot of green in april, the new york independent system operator nyiso released its annual gold book, which provides longterm forecasts for electric load and generation capacity. Clcpa renewables needed for doubled electric load pragmatic. The seven sections of this load and capacity data report gold. Nyiso 2019 90th percentile baseline coincident peak, table i7a. For an overview i used the annual report that presents load and capacity data including historical and forecast seasonal peak demand, energy usage, and existing and proposed generation and transmission facilities. Existing and proposed generation and other capacity resources.
In early december, the 2009 rna database was revised to include a new load forecast. The role and economic impacts of a arbon price in nyiso s. Nyiso load forecasts for the years 20 to 2023, and the transmission and generation data for the new york control area nyca. Published annually by the nyiso, the gold book presents uptodate transmission and generation data and load forecasts for the. In the past, load forecasts displayed steady growth over time, assuming growing populations and demand for electric appliances and devices. Gold book baseline and high load peak demand forecasts. Published annually by the nyiso, the gold book presents new york control area system, transmission and generation data and nyiso load forecasts of peak demand, energy requirements, energy efficiency, and emergency demand response. Since the publication of the 2016 gold book in april 201, there has been a6. This new load forecast began with the 2009 gold book and was modified. The information reported in this document is current as of march. The load and capacity date report or gold book is a featured report in the nyiso document library. New york independent system operator nyiso archives page.
The nyiso evaluated the period five years from the conclusion of the 365 day notice period december 12, 2020 december 12, 2025the study period using the most recent r eliability planning process base case. Historic and forecast seasonal peak demand, energy usage, and energy efficiency impacts. Aspen oneliner used for analysis nyiso gold book forecasts for ny wide loads adjustments to load in local areas where necessary to reflect noncoincident peaks 9010, localized load. Here you will find nyiso manuals, tech bulletins and user. Nyisos 2011 gold book recognizes only the proposed retirement of part of nrgs astoria plant by 2015, which would reduce interim capability by almost 107 mw for the new york city market in the forecast, unless the proposed new plant is readied by the same period. Gold book forecast new york state reliability council. Nyiso load and capacity data for the years 20162026. Nyiso draft gold book shows electric vehicles driving load growth. The 2018 gb baseline load forecast includes reductions for energy efficiency, codes and standards, distributed generation, behindthemeter btm photovoltaic pv solar, and. The nyisos 2015 gold book forecast is for the solar pv to have a peak load impact of 760. It is the new york independent system operator s nyiso second. This report presents the new york independent system operator, inc. Aspen oneliner used for analysis nyiso gold book forecasts for ny wide loads adjustments to load in local areas where necessary to reflect noncoincident peaks 9010, localized load growth.
Energy and peak forecasts are provided through 2039 on a zonal basis, and through 2049 on a system basis. Here you will find nyiso manuals, tech bulletins and user guides to assist with information needed to participate in the nyiso administered markets. Nyiso misleads on wind energy when it could have done much. Table 81 below summarizes the key assumptions for this study. Nyiso draft gold book shows evs driving load growth april 14, 2019. The information reported in this document is current as of march 15th, 2017 unless otherwise noted. Nyiso base cases for load flow and transient stability ferc 715. Thus, there is at least seven years for the market and the state to develop the resources necessary to replace. Overview this report presents the new york independent system operator, inc.
The nyiso uses the irm and the forecast peak load to establish minimum capacity requirements for each load serving entity lse located within the nyca. Nyiso website in the planning data and reference docs section where an annual report call the load and capacity data report, or the gold book is listed. Energy and peak forecasts are provided through 2038. Nyiso draft gold book shows electric vehicles driving load. The seven sections of this load and capacity data report gold book address the following topics. The models for this assessment were developed from the nyiso 2016 reliability needs assessment representation of year 2022 transmission and generation resources were modified based on dpsnyserda inputs see next page to approximate year 2030 summer peak and summer light load conditions load forecast based on 2016 gold book. As shown in the charts below, the peak load forecast has been revised down substantially compared to the 2017 gold book forecast. Similarly, nyiso has reduced its energy growth forecasts in recent years, which is attributed to the impact of existing energy efficiency programs and increased distributed generation due to future initiatives coming into effect. The role and economic impacts of a arbon price in nyiso s wholesale electricity markets october 3, 2019 analysis group, inc. Data sources load forecast nyiso the major source of base cases used in modeling. The mission of the new york independent system operator. The peak hour, or more specifically, the new york control area adjusted actual peak hour nyca peak hour, is determined by the peak measured.
Installed capacity view icap and ucap calculations nyiso. To estimate a national congestion cost figure that includes the onethird of the country that does not have transparent congestion pricing, one can scale the known rtoiso congestion costs in table 1 according to the peak load of the same regions and compare that to total u. A copy of gold book page 39 is attached as appendix a. Director, transmission planning new york independent system operator. Indian point energy center nuclear plant retirement analysis. Nyiso load and capacity data for the years 20152025. New york psc issues show cause order to esco concerning. Nyiso states that the gold book contains, among other things, load forecasts and details regarding existing generating facilities, proposed generator additions, proposed generator reratings, and retirements. Location forecasted peak load mw requirement % derating factor % icap mw requirement ucap mw requirement ucap effective % please click the display button to retrieve data. Load and capacity data also known as the nyiso gold book.
Nyiso gold book proposed capacity additions 20122022. Each april the nyiso poses its load and capacity data gold book indicating the regular changes in peak hours for the period 1997 through 2018. Here you will find nyiso manuals, tech bulletins and user guides to assist with information needed to participate in the nyisoadministered markets. Updates on nyisos comprehensive system planning process. Aspen oneliner used for analysis nyiso gold book forecasts for ny wide loads adjustments to load in local areas where necessary to reflect noncoincident peaks 9010, localized load growth 2. Nyiso load and capacity data for the years 20172027. Nyiso load and capacity data for the years 20192029. May 16, 2019 in april, the new york independent system operator nyiso released its annual gold book, which provides longterm forecasts for electric load and generation capacity. Nyiso load and capacity data for the years 20182028. High load forecast advances year of need to 2017 11. Renewable energy task force of the western new york peace center, inc. The 2017 gold book also reported notices of proposed generator deactivations of 1,857 mw of summer capability in 2017. The nyiso employs a twostage process in developing load forecasts for. The 2018 gb baseline load forecast includes reductions for energy efficiency, codes and.
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